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Odds in Hollywood Casino 400 work against Roush Fenway despite top starting spots

By admin | October 9, 2011

By Richard Allen


As far as starting positions go for the Hollywood Casino 400 at the Kansas Speedway are concerned, Roush Fenway Racing is set up about as well as could be expected. Greg Biffle and Carl Edwards will share the front row for the Ford organization while Matt Kenseth will fire off from the 4th spot and David Ragan will start from 13th. When it is also considered that these same drivers have been at or near the top of the practice speed charts during the weekend it ought to be reasonable to regard the drivers from RFR as the favorites to win on Sunday, right?

Well, before anyone goes rushing off to the adjacent casino on the speedway property to wager the kids’ college fund on a victory by one of the above mentioned drivers, factors other than starting positions and practice speeds ought to be thought about.

On a 1.5 mile ‘cookie cutter’ track such as the Kansas Speedway there is a very strong possibility that long green flag runs without caution flags will take place. And more, based on driver and team reports from practice sessions held over the weekend it seems as though tire wear will once again play virtually no role in the outcome of this race. Those factors, in turn, bring about the likelihood of another Sprint Cup victory being decided by a fuel mileage stretch run in the closing stages of the event.

This season, those type of races have not been kind to these Ford drivers. Every fuel mileage saver contest has been won this year by someone other than an RFR driver, even when those drivers have led significant numbers of laps throughout the day.

Chevrolet and Dodge teams have fared particularly well in gas saver contests in 2011. Tony Stewart, Paul Menard, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski have been among those to take advantage of such circumstances.

So, even though the Ford teams of Roush Fenway Racing have shown strength so far this weekend, there is little guarantee they will be running at the front of the pack in the end. The odds in the Hollywood Casino ought to be in favor of something other than the ability to go fast as a key factor in winning this race. And those odds work against RFR on a regular basis.

Topics: Articles |

2 Responses to “Odds in Hollywood Casino 400 work against Roush Fenway despite top starting spots”

  1. Ken Says:
    October 9th, 2011 at 2:46 pm

    Roush-Fenway will never win another championship! it will never happen, because nobody can beat the Hendrick teams. Rick Hendrick has the deepest pockets of all car owners, including Roger Penske, so he can hire the best engineers, the best everything. This makes his organization unbeatable. Oh well, the Chevy fans can have NASCAR! Johnson has his 6th championship in the bag, and it will be the final nail in NASCAR’s coffin. I hope Brian France is getting good kick-backs from The Felon! The sport is becoming more and more phoney with every race. I’ve been trying to hang on, but even I’m finally done! It’s so sickening to watch this sleezy oganization win week after week.

  2. Charles Says:
    October 10th, 2011 at 6:44 am

    With the advantage the Chevy teams have had with the “RO7 engine”, it makes more power and better fuel milieage I am supprised Ford,Dodge, or Toyota are even close!

    It this time of the season that the sandbagging goes away and Johnson and Chevy playbook goes to the top, and Nascar does nothing as usual to ‘even it up”

    Same old script, could see this coming along time ago, and by the way, where is Fords FR9 engine advantage that everyone was trumping this year?