By admin | October 9, 2011
By Richard Allen
As far as starting positions go for the Hollywood Casino 400 at the Kansas Speedway are concerned, Roush Fenway Racing is set up about as well as could be expected. Greg Biffle and Carl Edwards will share the front row for the Ford organization while Matt Kenseth will fire off from the 4th spot and David Ragan will start from 13th. When it is also considered that these same drivers have been at or near the top of the practice speed charts during the weekend it ought to be reasonable to regard the drivers from RFR as the favorites to win on Sunday, right?
Well, before anyone goes rushing off to the adjacent casino on the speedway property to wager the kidsâ€™ college fund on a victory by one of the above mentioned drivers, factors other than starting positions and practice speeds ought to be thought about.
On a 1.5 mile â€˜cookie cutterâ€™ track such as the Kansas Speedway there is a very strong possibility that long green flag runs without caution flags will take place. And more, based on driver and team reports from practice sessions held over the weekend it seems as though tire wear will once again play virtually no role in the outcome of this race. Those factors, in turn, bring about the likelihood of another Sprint Cup victory being decided by a fuel mileage stretch run in the closing stages of the event.
This season, those type of races have not been kind to these Ford drivers. Every fuel mileage saver contest has been won this year by someone other than an RFR driver, even when those drivers have led significant numbers of laps throughout the day.
Chevrolet and Dodge teams have fared particularly well in gas saver contests in 2011. Tony Stewart, Paul Menard, Kevin Harvick and Brad Keselowski have been among those to take advantage of such circumstances.
So, even though the Ford teams of Roush Fenway Racing have shown strength so far this weekend, there is little guarantee they will be running at the front of the pack in the end. The odds in the Hollywood Casino ought to be in favor of something other than the ability to go fast as a key factor in winning this race. And those odds work against RFR on a regular basis.
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