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Race Preview and Fantasy Predictions: Shelby 427

By admin | February 25, 2009

By Richard Allen

 

Track and Location: Las Vegas Motor Speedway in Las Vegas, Nevada

Track Layout: 1.5 Mile D-shaped oval with 20 degrees of banking in the turns and 9 degrees of banking on the straights.

Date of Race: Sunday(March 1, 2009)

Radio Coverage: PRN(3:30 Eastern)

Television Coverage: Fox(3:30 Eastern)

Start Time: 4:45(Eastern)

Last Year’s Winner: Carl Edwards

Much like the Auto Club Speedway last week, the Las Vegas Motor Speedway fits into that dreaded 1.5- 2 mile cookie cutter mold. However, a few years ago the owners of this track, Speedway Motorsports, Inc., increased the banking of the facility in hopes that it would improve competition. So, in one sense this track breaks the mold.

With another year for the asphalt to cure in the hot sun of the Nevada desert the ability to race side by side should be improved.

Much unlike the Auto Club Speedway, LVMS often features full grandstands. The Las Vegas economy, of course, is dependent on tourism so there could be an impact on attendance. However, this is a race that will draw from more than just its immediate area which may still allow for near capacity attendance.

As far as fantasy play is concerned, those drivers who did well last week and those drivers who did well on this track last year should do well this year.

This fantasy preview is based mostly on the ESPN Fantasy Stock Car Challenge, although it can be applied to most leagues. See the information below to join the RacingWithRich.com league on that site.

Here are some thoughts for the Shelby 427:

Drivers who should do well: This week, as with most weeks, the story is going to be more of the same old, same old. The big power teams hold such an advantage over others that it can become a bit of a crapshoot to find value, but I will try to offer at least one or two drivers every week with lower price tags that may do well.

Carl Edwards- He did not dominate in California but he did win here last year. This type track is where he made his strongest showings all last year. One Las Vegas bet that will be a sure thing this week is that the #99 team will have that air cover at the back of the car secured on Sunday.

Matt Kenseth- He is a perfect 2 for 2 in 2009. Statistically, this is his best track.

Greg Biffle- He was strong enough to win last week. Another safe bet may be that he will not slide past his pit board on Sunday.

Jeff Gordon- Last week may have been the most solid run Gordon has had in a while. He could be back.

Kyle Busch- He was moving toward the front at the end of last week’s race on his way to a 3rd place finish. Like Edwards, this is the type track where he should excel.

Kurt Busch- Like Gordon and Kenseth, the elder Busch seems poised to return to the top of the heap in 2009. He was 5th last week.

Juan Pablo Montoya- He had a nice 11th last week in California. The Chevy power seems to be agreeing with his driving style. At his current price he could provide a nice value.

David Reutimann- I had him on my team last week and he provided a solid 14th place finish so I’ll probably stick with him.

Drivers to avoid: The drivers who ran well last week should do so again. And, the drivers who ran poorly may be in for a long season.

Joey Logano- His price is very low considering the equipment he is in but I am still going to make him prove his worth.

Richard Childress Racing- None of the RCR cars, with the possible exception of Harvick before he crashed, looked good last week. Bowyer was the highest finisher among the four at 19th. They may all be overpriced.

Martin Truex- He didn’t have a very good run last week and he still looks like a guy who would rather be somewhere else.

Winner of the Shelby 427: Kyle Busch

These are only suggestions. Do your own research and enjoy the Auto Club 500.

Richard Allen is a member of the National Motorsports Press Association. His weekly column appears in The Mountain Press every Wednesday.

* I have established a fantasy league at the ESPN Fantasy Stock Car Challenge site. Click on the link below and use the information below the link to join in. It’s not too late.

http://games.espn.go.com/stockcar/frontpage

League name: RacingWithRich.com

Password: fantasy2009

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